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September 22, 2016 |
Polling News
As I wrote in last week’s Wall Street Journal, “Republicans may well hold the Senate—though it will probably come down to a few thousand votes, in a handful of states, and decided very late on election night.” FiveThirtyEight.com has just offered two meas...
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September 15, 2016 |
Polling News
Unsurprisingly, Hillary Clinton is leading Donald Trump with Latino voters in key swing states now.  What is interesting, however, is that neither candidate is matching the Latino vote share their party’s presidential candidates received in these states i...
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September 08, 2016 |
Polling News
Do live-interview polls and nonlive polls garner the same results? Not according to recent Fivethirtyeight.com analysis. It revealed that when only live polls are considered, Hillary Clinton has an 86% chance of winning with 354.1 Electoral votes and a +7...
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September 01, 2016 |
Polling News
When Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton became their party’s nominee, each faced the challenge of uniting their party behind them.  How have the presidential hopefuls unified their party?  The most effective argument so far has been that voters should not s...
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August 24, 2016 |
Polling News
Democrats hope their 2016 candidate, Hillary Clinton, will be able to recreate the “Obama Coalition” with strong support from the African American, Latino, college-educated, women, and independent voters that propelled Barack Obama to the White House in 2...
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August 18, 2016 |
Polling News
President Barack Obama once promised, “If you like your health care plan, you can keep your health care plan” under ObamaCare.  But that’s hardly been the case as millions lost their existing coverage. ...
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August 11, 2016 |
Polling News
Donald Trump believes his path to the White House depends on winning white working-class voters, specifically those in northeast states like Maine and Pennsylvania and in Midwest states like Ohio, Wisconsin, and Michigan.  Conventional wisdom suggests whi...
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August 04, 2016 |
Polling News
How have the Republican and Democratic vice presidential nominees affected the 2016 election so far?  According to Gallup, Hillary Clinton’s choice of Tim Kaine as her running mate and Donald Trump’s pick of Mike Pence have had little-to-no net effect on ...

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