Karl's Book, Courage and Consequence available at Amazon.com, Barnes & Nobles, and Books-a-Million
Methodology
For each state, the map uses the average of all public telephone polls (internet polls are not included in the average) taken within 30 days of the most recent poll available in each state. For example, if the most recent poll in Ohio was taken on July 1, the average includes all polls conducted between June 1 and July 1. States within a three-point lead for the Republican or Democratic candidate are classified as toss-ups; states outside the three-point lead are allocated to the respective party. For states where primaries have yet to occur, the map uses polling match-ups between the candidates leading in polls among each party's primary voters.
Election 2008: State of the Race
With under two weeks to go before Election Day, Barack Obama retains the lead in the Electoral College with 306 votes to McCain’s 171 and 61 votes as a toss-up. Since last week, Ohio (20 EV) has shifted from toss-up to Obama, while Florida (27 EV) has gone from Obama to toss-up, a net loss of 7 electoral votes for the Illinois senator. McCain still needs to win the toss-up states and peel Ohio and at least one substantial state away from Obama to have a chance at victory. In Virginia (13 EV) and Pennsylvania (21 EV), which his campaign says he is targeting, he trails by 7 and 13 points, respectively.
Download this map »
Download this map »
