Karl's Book, Courage and Consequence available at Amazon.com, Barnes & Nobles, and Books-a-Million
Methodology
For each state, the map uses the average of all public telephone polls (internet polls are not included in the average) taken within 30 days of the most recent poll available in each state. For example, if the most recent poll in Ohio was taken on July 1, the average includes all polls conducted between June 1 and July 1. States within a three-point lead for the Republican or Democratic candidate are classified as toss-ups; states outside the three-point lead are allocated to the respective party. For states where primaries have yet to occur, the map uses polling match-ups between the candidates leading in polls among each party's primary voters.
Election 2010: State of the Race
A light week of polling only brings one change, as Illinois moves from leaning Republican to a toss-up. Democrats remain projected to win 50 seats, with Republicans holding 42, and 8 seats classified as toss-ups. Of the 8 toss-ups, however, Republicans hold a narrow edge in 5, with Democrats ahead in 2 and Crist (I) essentially tied with Rubio (R) in Florida.
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