On Target: Polling Accuracy in the 2008 Presidential Election

Which pollster came closest to predicting the 2008 presidential election?  Comparing the margin of the last pre-election national poll to the actual results—as of 11/6/08, a 6.2-point Obama victory—reveals that Pew and Rasmussen were the closest to the mark, having predicted a 6-point Obama win.

Which Pollster Was Closest...

Posted: November 6, 2008