Polling News

House Members In Split Districts

February 09, 2017

Historically, the president’s party is at a disadvantage in midterm elections.  In 2018, however, there are not nearly as many vulnerable members – those from the president’s party in congressional districts won by his opponent – than there have been in a quarter century.

Today, there are 23 House Republicans in congressional districts Hillary Clinton won and just 12 House Democrats representing districts President Donald Trump won.  In 2009, there were 49 Democrats in districts John McCain won and 34 Republican members in districts President Barack Obama won.  These numbers were even higher in previous years.  In 2001, there were 43 Democrats in George W. Bush districts and 42 Republicans in Al Gore districts.  In 1993, there were 50 Republicans in Bill Clinton districts and 53 Democrats in George H.W. Bush districts.

Though lower in number, there will still be a focus on these 35 House members in split districts.  As 2018’s top targets, they will feel pressure from all sides.  And their actions in debates like those on tax reform, ObamaCare, and other hot button issues will shape the contours of the midterm election campaigns and play a big role in determining the outcome at the ballot box.

Related PollingNews

Placeholder polling news
January 18, 2018 |
Polling News
This week marks one year since President Donald Trump’s inauguration.  ...
Placeholder polling news
January 11, 2018 |
Polling News
As the Washington Post pointed out, job numbers for President Donald Trump’s first year in office were not just good, but very good.  ...
Placeholder polling news
January 04, 2018 |
Polling News
A majority (71%) of Americans are hopeful about how the new year will go for them personally, according to a Survey Monkey poll reported by Axios. ...
Placeholder polling news
December 28, 2017 |
Polling News
Today Republicans are at the lowest standing a year out from a Midterm Election than they have been in two decades, according to CNN polling.  Only 38% of voters say they are more likely to support the Republican Party next year, while 56% say they are mo...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance