Polling News

House Members In Split Districts

February 09, 2017

Historically, the president’s party is at a disadvantage in midterm elections.  In 2018, however, there are not nearly as many vulnerable members – those from the president’s party in congressional districts won by his opponent – than there have been in a quarter century.

Today, there are 23 House Republicans in congressional districts Hillary Clinton won and just 12 House Democrats representing districts President Donald Trump won.  In 2009, there were 49 Democrats in districts John McCain won and 34 Republican members in districts President Barack Obama won.  These numbers were even higher in previous years.  In 2001, there were 43 Democrats in George W. Bush districts and 42 Republicans in Al Gore districts.  In 1993, there were 50 Republicans in Bill Clinton districts and 53 Democrats in George H.W. Bush districts.

Though lower in number, there will still be a focus on these 35 House members in split districts.  As 2018’s top targets, they will feel pressure from all sides.  And their actions in debates like those on tax reform, ObamaCare, and other hot button issues will shape the contours of the midterm election campaigns and play a big role in determining the outcome at the ballot box.

Related PollingNews

Placeholder polling news
February 23, 2017 |
Polling News
Trump Support After One Month: Where does President Donald Trump’s support stand after one month in office? ...
Placeholder polling news
February 16, 2017 |
Polling News
Republicans won the White House, Senate, and House promising to repeal and replace Obamacare.  ...
Placeholder polling news
February 02, 2017 |
Polling News
By nominating Judge Neil Gorsuch to the U.S. Supreme Court, President Donald Trump delivered on one of the main promises that convinced voters to support him in November.  ...
Placeholder polling news
January 26, 2017 |
Polling News
Barack Obama leaves office with one of the lowest average job approval ratings of any modern presidents.  According to Gallup, Mr. Obama’s average job approval rating from Jan. 20, 2009 through Jan. 19, 2017 was 47.9%.  Of all twelve post-World War II pre...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance