Polling News

House Members In Split Districts

February 09, 2017

Historically, the president’s party is at a disadvantage in midterm elections.  In 2018, however, there are not nearly as many vulnerable members – those from the president’s party in congressional districts won by his opponent – than there have been in a quarter century.

Today, there are 23 House Republicans in congressional districts Hillary Clinton won and just 12 House Democrats representing districts President Donald Trump won.  In 2009, there were 49 Democrats in districts John McCain won and 34 Republican members in districts President Barack Obama won.  These numbers were even higher in previous years.  In 2001, there were 43 Democrats in George W. Bush districts and 42 Republicans in Al Gore districts.  In 1993, there were 50 Republicans in Bill Clinton districts and 53 Democrats in George H.W. Bush districts.

Though lower in number, there will still be a focus on these 35 House members in split districts.  As 2018’s top targets, they will feel pressure from all sides.  And their actions in debates like those on tax reform, ObamaCare, and other hot button issues will shape the contours of the midterm election campaigns and play a big role in determining the outcome at the ballot box.

Related PollingNews

Placeholder polling news
October 18, 2018 |
Polling News
A recent survey from the Pew Research Center found 66% of voters say it “really matters” which party wins Congress after this fall’s Midterms. ...
Placeholder polling news
October 11, 2018 |
Polling News
Republicans have closed the enthusiasm gap in the wake of the confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, but how does that translate into voter reliability? ...
Placeholder polling news
October 04, 2018 |
Polling News
In July, Democrats had a ten-point advantage in voter enthusiasm over Republicans, according to a NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll.  ...
Placeholder polling news
September 27, 2018 |
Polling News
What issues are important to voters this November?  According to a recent CBS News/YouGov Battleground poll, 70% of voters say health care is very important to their ballot this year, including 76% of women voters and 64% of Independents.  ...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance