Polling News

Post-Debate Polls

September 29, 2016

According to CNN/ORC poll, 58% of viewers thought Hillary Clinton won Monday’s debate, while 32% said Donald Trump won.  How have presidential candidates fared after their first debates in the past?  According to historic polls, viewers said the Democratic candidate “won” the first debate seven out of the last eight presidential election cycles.  In 1984, 54% said Walter Mondale won and 35% said Ronald Reagan won; it was 38%-29% Michael Dukakis in 1988; 30%-16% Bill Clinton in 1992; 51%-32% Clinton in 1996; 48%-41% Al Gore in 2000; 53%-37% John Kerry in 2004; and 51%-38% Obama in 2008.  Mitt Romney was the only Republican viewed as the winner after his first debate.

This year, Clinton and Trump have two more opportunities to make their case to voters.  In the past, of the candidates who “won” the first debate according to CNN (Mondale, Dukakis, Clinton, Clinton, Gore, Kerry, Obama, and Romney), five were also said to have won the last debate.  Reagan, Bush 41, and Obama in 2012 all “lost” their first debates, but won their closing debate.  It is important to remember, winning the debate does not translate into winning the election.  While viewers said Mondale, Dukakis, Clinton, Gore, and Kerry “won” both their first and last debate, only Bill Clinton actually went on to win the White House.

Related PollingNews

Placeholder polling news
January 18, 2018 |
Polling News
This week marks one year since President Donald Trump’s inauguration.  ...
Placeholder polling news
January 11, 2018 |
Polling News
As the Washington Post pointed out, job numbers for President Donald Trump’s first year in office were not just good, but very good.  ...
Placeholder polling news
January 04, 2018 |
Polling News
A majority (71%) of Americans are hopeful about how the new year will go for them personally, according to a Survey Monkey poll reported by Axios. ...
Placeholder polling news
December 28, 2017 |
Polling News
Today Republicans are at the lowest standing a year out from a Midterm Election than they have been in two decades, according to CNN polling.  Only 38% of voters say they are more likely to support the Republican Party next year, while 56% say they are mo...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance