Polling News

Red States Now Outnumber Blue States

February 04, 2016

According to a Feb. 3 Gallup report, the number of Red states now outnumbers Blue states based on political party affiliation in 2015.  Twenty states are solid or lean Republican while 14 are solid or lean Democratic.  Gallup arrived at it state-by-state determinations by examining the partisan breakdown of all of its polling for the year.

In 2008, Democrats had a 30-state advantage with 35 blue states (29 solid, six leaning) and only five red (four solid, one leaning) with fifteen competitive states.  The gap narrowed in 2012 with Democrats holding 19 states (13 solid, six leaning) and Republicans 12 (nine solid, three leaning) with nineteen competitive states.  Since then, Democrats have lost five states while Republicans picked up eight and the number of competitive states dropped to sixteen.

Interestingly, states considered lean or solid Democrat in 2012 – Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania – are now classified by Gallup as competitive.

Since Democrats are clustered in larger, more populous states, nationally they still out number Republicans with 43% of adults identifying as Democrats or lean Democrat, compared to 40% who identify or lean Republican.

Moreover, the Red states only account for 152 electoral votes, compared to 187 for the Blue states.  The Republican presidential nominee must win most competitive battleground states such as Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Virginia, Colorado, Nevada, Iowa, and New Hampshire and the upper Midwest trio of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota to prevail.

Related PollingNews

Placeholder polling news
July 19, 2018 |
Polling News
Voter engagement is higher than it has been in any midterm in over twenty years, according to a Pew Research Center survey, with 51% of registered voters saying they are “more enthusiastic than usual” about voting in November’s elections. ...
Placeholder polling news
July 12, 2018 |
Polling News
Democrats must hold ten seats in states President Donald Trump won in 2016 (FL, ND, IN, MO, OH, WV, MI, PA, MT, and WI) and pick up two GOP-held seats to win control of the U.S. Senate.  ...
Placeholder polling news
July 05, 2018 |
Polling News
Democrats’ response to Justice Anthony Kennedy’s retirement has been embarrassing.  The Left has been fear-mongering over the Supreme Court vacancy’s effect on every issue from abortion to healthcare. ...
Placeholder polling news
June 28, 2018 |
Polling News
Now, 56% of Americans say they are “absolutely certain to vote” in November’s Midterm, according to recent Gallup polling. ...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance