Jan van Lohuizen of Voter Consumer Research and Luke Thompson of Ad Astra Insights have done interesting work in depicting the pattern over time of the favorables and unfavorable of the remaining Republican and Democratic presidential contenders. Their w...
Political junkies got a glimpse of the fall general-election campaign this week: Hillary Clinton’s super PAC, Priorities USA, announced it had reserved $70 million of television advertising in seven battleground states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, Ne...
At the March 10 Republican debate in Miami, Donald Trump said “I think that whoever gets the most delegates should win”—meaning that if no candidate holds a majority at the GOP’s Cleveland convention, the nomination should go to whoever has a plurality.
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Read this interesting memo from TargetPoint’s Alex Gage and Samantha Artley that shows frontrunner Donald Trump is not consolidating the contest as the three previous Republican nominees did. At this point after Super Tuesday in 2000, Texas Gov. George W...
The Ides of March was kind to Donald Trump. He swept five of six contests and passed an important milestone, capturing 40% of the votes cast. Still, he’s not a lock for the nomination.
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The rules of political proportionality can be kind, as they were Tuesday to Sen. Bernie Sanders. The Vermonter’s margin of victory over Hillary Clinton in Michigan was slight, 49.8% to 48.3%. But because his vote was spread over more congressional distric...
So far, 12.4 million Americans have voted in Republican presidential caucuses and primaries so far. Donald Trump leads with 4.3 million or 34.9% of the total, compared to 8.1 million or 65.1% for the rest of the field. So how does this pattern compare t...
Super Tuesday was a huge day for the Democratic and Republican Party front-runners. Both took big steps toward winning their respective nominations—but even as they piled up delegates, they still face challenges.
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