According to CNN/ORC poll, 58% of viewers thought Hillary Clinton won Monday’s debate, while 32% said Donald Trump won. How have presidential candidates fared after their first debates in the past? According to historic polls, viewers said the Democrati...
As I wrote in last week’s Wall Street Journal, “Republicans may well hold the Senate—though it will probably come down to a few thousand votes, in a handful of states, and decided very late on election night.” FiveThirtyEight.com has just offered two meas...
For all the importance attached to presidential debates, they tend to confirm existing trends. President Gerald Ford may have mistakenly denied Soviet domination of Eastern Europe in a 1976 exchange with Gov. Jimmy Carter. But Ford was already whittling a...
Obscured by the drama of the presidential campaign is a battle royal for the U.S. Senate. Today Republicans control the upper chamber with 54 seats to Democrats’ 46. But the balance could tip either way in November, making or breaking the agenda of Presid...
Unsurprisingly, Hillary Clinton is leading Donald Trump with Latino voters in key swing states now. What is interesting, however, is that neither candidate is matching the Latino vote share their party’s presidential candidates received in these states i...
Here are the documents I referenced on The O’Reilly Factor on September 14, 2016.
Biggest Irish Donor to Clinton… O’Brien gives $10-25 million in 2014.
Gets money from USAID and Gates Foundation to begin mobile banking while Clinton is co-chairman o...
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have only 60 days left to change voters’ minds, and they have a long way to go. The Republican and Democratic nominees remain the most unpopular presidential candidates ever polled.
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Do live-interview polls and nonlive polls garner the same results? Not according to recent Fivethirtyeight.com analysis. It revealed that when only live polls are considered, Hillary Clinton has an 86% chance of winning with 354.1 Electoral votes and a +7...