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How to Read the 2025 Election Tea Leaves

October 23, 2025 |
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When ballots are counted across America in less than two weeks, the punditry will focus on the New York mayoral race and the New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial contests. Knowing that these races could be predictive of next year’s midterms, who won and why will dominate headlines. But there’s another important question to ask: Compared with what?

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May 23, 2024 |
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No third-party candidate will win the 2024 presidential election or even a single state. ...
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May 16, 2024 |
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For President Biden, bad news is piling up. ...
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May 09, 2024 |
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Last Saturday’s Republican National Committee event at Mar-a-Lago was a casting call. The role up for grabs? Donald Trump’s running mate.    ...
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May 02, 2024 |
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When President Biden told Howard Stern last Friday that he’d be “happy to debate” Donald Trump, the former president immediately responded on Truth Social: “Everyone knows he doesn’t really mean it, but in case he does, I say, ANYWHERE, ANYTIME, ANYPLACE....
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April 25, 2024 |
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As performance art, Rep. Thomas Massie’s exchange Saturday with Fox News anchor Neil Cavuto was a tour de force.  ...
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April 18, 2024 |
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As Speaker Mike Johnson maneuvered last week to bring Ukraine aid up for a vote, two respected House committee chairmen made a disturbing acknowledgment: Russian disinformation has helped undermine support for Ukraine among some Republicans. ...
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April 11, 2024 |
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Conventional wisdom is that Republicans will lose the U.S. House this fall. That may be right.   ...
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April 04, 2024 |
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At first glance, becoming president looks like simple arithmetic: Carry at least 90% of your party’s adherents and win more independents than the other candidate and voilà, you’re in the White House. ...

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