Polling News

Trump Job Approval By State

February 28, 2019

In 2018, President Donald Trump’s approval rating was 50% or higher in 17 states (AK, AL, AR, ID, KS, KY, MO, MS, MT, ND, OK, SC, SD, TN, UT, WV, and WY), between 40% and 49% in 16 states (AZ, FL, GA, IA, IN, LA, MI, NC, NE, NV, OH, OR, PA, TX, VA, and WI), and below 40% in 17 states (CA, CT, CO, DE, HI, IL, MA, ME, MD, MN, NH, NJ, NM, NY, RI, VT, and WA), according to Gallup tracking. Today Mr. Trump’s national Gallup approval rating is 44%.  His rating in 26 states (AZ, FL, WI, MI, PA, TX, OR, NV, VA, DE, CO, MN, NM, ME, WA, CT, RI, IL, NJ, NH, NY, MD, CA, MA, VT, and HI) falls below that national average.

Gallup notes that these approval ratings align with the president’s performance in the 2016 Election and serve as a good starting point to determine which states Mr. Trump will likely win in 2020 and which states will require extra work and attention.

The 17 states where his approval rating is 50% or higher are likely safe Trump states.  To get to 270 Electoral Vote, however, the president will need to win almost all the 16 states where his approval is between 40%-49%.  These include some states that are likely safe Republican, like Louisiana; some that are likely safe Democrat, like Oregon; and some that are genuinely swing states.  Florida, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin fall into this swing group.  The president won this group of states in 2016, but his campaign must treat them as up for grabs and mount a strong effort in each one to win in 2020.  Arizona, Georgia, Iowa, and North Carolina also fall into this 40%-49% group, and while they are not as purple as Michigan, they must not be ignored this campaign.

Related PollingNews

Placeholder polling news
March 14, 2019 |
Polling News
Most Democratic presidential hopefuls have fallen in line to support “Medicare-for-All.”  ...
Placeholder polling news
March 07, 2019 |
Polling News
The Pew Research Center’s latest study found that the response rates for telephone surveys continues to decline.      ...
Placeholder polling news
February 21, 2019 |
Polling News
President Donald Trump declared a national emergency last week after Congress failed to fully fund his $5.7 million funding request for border wall construction. ...
Placeholder polling news
February 14, 2019 |
Polling News
Democratic members of Congress made no attempts to hide their distain during President Donald Trump’s State of the Union address last week. ...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance