Polling News

GOP Split Into 5 “Tribes”

March 25, 2021

A new Fabrizio, Lee and Associates Survey shows today’s Republican party is split into five factions: Trump Boosters (28%), Diehard Trumpers (27%), Post-Trump GOP (20%), Never Trump (15%), and Infowars GOP (10%). 

The poll shows that the majority of Republicans continue holding the former President in high regard.  Among the over a third of Republicans who are Diehard Trumpers and Infowars voters, support for former President Trump is almost unanimous, with 80-100% supporting him in a theoretical 2024 primary. Another key group ­– Trump boosters – gives just 51% of their vote going to Trump in a primary though they have favorable views of the era and administration.  They make up over a quarter of the party.

The fifth of the GOP that are Post-Trump maintains a strong view of the former president but see the Republican Party’s future elsewhere. Within this segment, current 2024 primary support goes to Mike Pence (21%), Nikki Haley (16%), and Ron DeSantis (14%), before falling into the single digits and undecided (24%).  Members of the Never Trump tribe view Mitt Romney (23%), Mike Pence (16%), and Nikki Haley (10%) as the future of the conservative politics.

As 2024 approaches and possible candidates pop up in Iowa, one thing is certain: President Trump will play a key role in the next GOP nomination process. Presidential hopefuls face the challenge of appealing to Mr. Trump’s base while energizing the rest of the party with a forward-facing vision.

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