Polling News

Americans’ View of Tax Bill

June 19, 2025

As the debate over final passage of the “Big Beautiful Bill” continues in Congress, a recent Pew Research Center poll found that almost half of Americans view the bill unfavorably. 

By The Numbers:

  • Nearly half of Americans (49%) oppose the GOP’s tax and budget bill, while 29% favor it. Twenty-one percent are unsure.

  • Fifty-four percent of Americans say the tax bill would have “a mostly negative effect on the country,” while 30% say it would have “a mostly positive effect on the country.” This is largely driven by 84% of Democrats or Democrat leaning Americans having a negative view of the bill, while just 58% of Republicans and Republican leaning Americans have a positive view.

  • Just over half (51%) of Americans believe the tax bill would “increase the budget deficit,” including 71% of Democrats/Democrat leaners. Only 18% say it’d “reduce the budget deficit,” including 31% of Republicans/Republican leaners. Twenty-seven percent say it would “not have much of an effect on the budget deficit.” 

The Bottom Line: The bill’s opposition and mainstream media have more opportunities to attack the bill on its merits the longer the debate goes on. As Congress charges towards its July 4th deadline to pass the measure, Republican members and candidates, particularly in swing states and districts, must highlight how it’ll help the lives of everyday Americans and address their voters’ specific concerns about how the measure affects the economy, health care and the deficit. 

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