Five models dominate academic analyses of elections for the House of Representatives. They are: (1) the surge and decline cycle of presidential elections and the successive off-year election; (2) the presidential performance model; (3) the retirement mode...
The surprise Sunday was not Sen. Joe Manchin’s announcement on "Fox News Sunday" that he won’t support President Joe Biden’s Build Back Better (BBB) bill, but the White House reaction to his declaration.
It should not have been a shock. For months Manc...
Laura and I have been watching the tragic events unfolding in Afghanistan with deep sadness. Our hearts are heavy for both the Afghan people who have suffered so much and for the Americans and NATO allies who have sacrificed so much.
The Afghans now at...
Less than three weeks until Election Day, voters are thinking most about health care, the economy, and reining in President Trump -- and Democratic candidates are benefitting.
Currently, 49 percent of likely voters back the Democratic candidate in the...
On Wednesday, I was honored to speak at the Winter Meeting of the Republican National Committee about the how important and impactful the 2018 elections could be for America. Below is an excerpt of my remarks.
Let me thank all of you, particularly thos...
The distribution tables from the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) for the tax reform bill passed by Congress give the lie to Democratic claims that the legislation is a big tax cut for the 1% and the shaft for the middle class.
According to my for...
