Partisan preference shifted heavily in 2021. After a tumultuous first year for President Biden, recent polling from Gallup shows Americans are leaning toward Republicans at a level not seen in more than 25 years.
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For months leading up to and after the anniversary of the Jan. 6 Capitol riot, Democratic Senators and candidates have been telling Americans that their right to vote is in danger and a Senate procedure instituted to encourage deliberation and consensus—k...
Five models dominate academic analyses of elections for the House of Representatives. They are: (1) the surge and decline cycle of presidential elections and the successive off-year election; (2) the presidential performance model; (3) the retirement mode...
As the new year begins, the Real Clear Politics polling average shows President Joe Biden’s job approval is at its lowest point since he took office last January.
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