Articles

My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions

January 07, 2016
35bb711d66c861c93d68c5b82d1a9e26

Continuing a tradition, here is a look back at my predictions for 2015—hits and misses—and fresh prognostications for the New Year. Of last year’s 27 prophecies, I got nine wrong. There was no Supreme Court vacancy, nor did the high court prohibit ObamaCare patients in states without exchanges from receiving federal subsidies.

Although the House and Senate passed budget resolutions, lawmakers did not approve most appropriations bills before Oct. 1. Nor did President Obama veto any, despite his frequent threats. Instead, Senate Democrats filibustered because Republicans proposed spending too little.

There was more populist anger on the right (with Trump at 35% in Wednesday’s Real Clear Politics average) than on the left (with Sanders at 32%). And the GOP front-runner (The Donald) cracked 30% in September, not 25%, as I had predicted.

Because of turmoil in the House, congressional Republicans failed to offer a governing conservative vision, though their budget resolutions required tough votes on entitlements and tax reform.

The Seahawks didn’t win the Super Bowl, losing to the Patriots. None of my Oscar picks—“American Sniper,” Benedict Cumberbatch and Clint Eastwood—won a statuette.

To read the full article, please visit WSJ.com.

Related Article

104a42a5261a6b08ee773383dddfdb18
April 25, 2024 |
Article
As performance art, Rep. Thomas Massie’s exchange Saturday with Fox News anchor Neil Cavuto was a tour de force.  ...
310fb3400058e73f3e85480ac40f8dfc
April 18, 2024 |
Article
As Speaker Mike Johnson maneuvered last week to bring Ukraine aid up for a vote, two respected House committee chairmen made a disturbing acknowledgment: Russian disinformation has helped undermine support for Ukraine among some Republicans. ...
4f7297d8dd70cdc75110ed343399a0de
April 11, 2024 |
Article
Conventional wisdom is that Republicans will lose the U.S. House this fall. That may be right.   ...
0c9cdcea27111bfc81e124695c80c542
April 04, 2024 |
Article
At first glance, becoming president looks like simple arithmetic: Carry at least 90% of your party’s adherents and win more independents than the other candidate and voilà, you’re in the White House. ...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance