Articles

Palin Could Make the Difference In This Close Race

September 03, 2008

Will Barack Obama and John McCain's picks for their running mates affect the election? I asked some leading political science professors what research on this topic revealed. Their answer: Running mates usually don't matter, but this may be an unusual election.

John Petrocik of the University of Missouri, Columbia told me his analysis of vice presidential choices between 1972 and 2004 showed they had an impact of "less than 1%" on the outcome of the election. "Running mates have a significant impact," said James E. Campbell of the State University of New York at Buffalo, "but only in their home state." If their home state is small or mid-sized, they add 2.5 points to the ticket's vote there. If they're from a big state like California, Texas or New York, the ticket's bump is half that.

FULL ARTICLE: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122048917883797417.html

Related Article

D6baae5d58b40335cd7ce34eb2abbd70
January 17, 2019 |
Article
With the government shutdown well into its fourth week, Republicans and Democrats are narrowly focused on placating their bases. They need to think bigger. ...
D5df5b12064ca98c6621fc35ef8f6183
January 10, 2019 |
Article
Will Democrats ever say yes to immigration reform? They now have an opportunity to do so as President Trump demands funding for additional miles of physical barrier along the southern border. ...
4d5c94a81c322baf03f645c271992099
January 03, 2019 |
Article
I made 29 predictions last January, and since accountability matters, how’d I do? At year’s end, I got 19½ right and 9½ wrong—in some instances, wildly so. ...
91e9754d1ac061fe33bbe94207843856
December 27, 2018 |
Article
All the major actors in the government-shutdown drama have seen their standing suffer with the public.  ...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance