Articles

Palin Could Make the Difference In This Close Race

September 03, 2008

Will Barack Obama and John McCain's picks for their running mates affect the election? I asked some leading political science professors what research on this topic revealed. Their answer: Running mates usually don't matter, but this may be an unusual election.

John Petrocik of the University of Missouri, Columbia told me his analysis of vice presidential choices between 1972 and 2004 showed they had an impact of "less than 1%" on the outcome of the election. "Running mates have a significant impact," said James E. Campbell of the State University of New York at Buffalo, "but only in their home state." If their home state is small or mid-sized, they add 2.5 points to the ticket's vote there. If they're from a big state like California, Texas or New York, the ticket's bump is half that.

FULL ARTICLE: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122048917883797417.html

Related Article

Acd424735e9dd4304fb5c1c6425c0d23
February 15, 2024 |
Article
The Biden campaign took a torpedo to its engine room last week in the form of special counsel Robert Hur’s report. ...
A4da1e61a69e6733f9b1de11882204c4
February 08, 2024 |
Article
I first saw him on Friday, Sept. 14, 2001, at Ground Zero in New York. ...
3f155a6a49dd1b1ee3b3bfa6faaa69a8
February 01, 2024 |
Article
Last week I explored Donald Trump’s challenges as the general election beckons. This week it’s President Biden’s turn. ...
C24eb5e67d416917277f3a5000f209e5
January 25, 2024 |
Article
New Hampshire’s primary had a clear winner but a strange ending: The results didn’t seem to make Donald Trump very cheery. ...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance