Polling News

Democratic Momentum Stalls In Closing Weeks

October 20, 2022

A new CBS News/YouGov poll shows that going into the final three weeks of the 2022 midterms, Democratic momentum has stalled.

WHY IT MATTERS: Democrats had a brief boost after the Dobbs decision in late summer, but as inflation keeps rising and gas prices move up again, their momentum has been capped. The poll predicts Republicans will take control of the House of Representatives with 224 seats this November, in large part because of the view Americans have of the economy. Asked what is causing higher prices, voters cited three top reasons–supply and manufacturing issues, global factors and Democratic policies. 

By the numbers:

  • 65% of voters say the economy is getting worse, while only 15% say it’s getting better with 20% believe it is staying the same.
  • 63% of voters believe gas prices in their area are rising, a 47% increase from August, and 13% say they’re going down (a drop of 40% from August)
  • 48% of voters say Democratic policies have harmed the economy and 29% say they have helped it while 71% of voters believe Biden bears some or a lot of responsibility for the state of the economy.

Republicans now have a full 2% advantage on the generic Congressional ballot. The abortion issue, once surging and promising to prompt strong turnout for Democrats, has fallen with 7% less voters citing it as very or somewhat important to their vote for Congress. Democrats who were relying on an abortion boost a few weeks ago, now say it looks like they peaked too early.

The bottom line: 90% of voters feel as motivated or more motivated than in a presidential election year to cast their ballot. The most important key to ensuring a GOP win this fall will be continuing to build momentum by explaining how a Republican majority will take action on issues affecting voters the most right now. 

Related PollingNews

Placeholder polling news
November 24, 2022 |
Polling News
In recent years, billions of dollars have been spent on campaigns.  ...
Placeholder polling news
November 17, 2022 |
Polling News
Former President Trump made a point of flaunting the win rate of his endorsed candidates; however, an American Enterprise Institute study shows that in close races, his endorsement was not of great service to candidates. ...
Placeholder polling news
November 10, 2022 |
Polling News
Over the course of the final seven days of the 2022 midterms, Real Clear Politics tracked 203 individual polling results, with some coming far closer than others. ...
Placeholder polling news
November 03, 2022 |
Polling News
Recent polling from USA Today/Suffolk University shows a red wave may be imminent as Democrats bleed with undecided voters. ...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance