Polling News

The 2024 Gender Gap

September 05, 2024

Though Kamala Harris did not see a dramatic bump up after the Democrat National Convention, she has widened the gender gap, according to the latest ABC News/Ispos poll.

By The Numbers:

  • Overall, Harris leads Donald Trump 52% to 46% with likely voters, nominally unchanged from numbers before (49% Harris; 45% Trump).

  • Among women, however, Harris has increased her lead. Before the convention, Harris’s lead with women was 50%-45% (+5). Today, she leads Trump with women 54%-41% (+13). 

  • Trump improved his standing with men. Before the DNC, Trump lagged Harris by three points, 49%-46%. Today, Trump leads Harris by five points with men, 51%-46%.  

The Bottom Line: The gender gap appears to be irreversible for this election, and potentially the next. Trump’s path to victory will be increasing margins with male voters, specifically white college educated men. That said, for down-ballot Republicans in swing states should work at closing the gender gap in their own contests. It will make the difference especially in Montana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Arizona. 

Related PollingNews

Placeholder polling news
May 08, 2025 |
Polling News
President Donald Trump’s approval on key issues is starting to decline, according to FiveThirtyEight.com.   ...
Placeholder polling news
May 01, 2025 |
Polling News
President Donald Trump received discouraging polls this week as his completed the first 100 days of his second term.  ...
Placeholder polling news
April 24, 2025 |
Polling News
Next week will mark the 100th day in office for President Donald Trump’s second term. Gallup found that Trump had an average 45% approval rating for this first quarter, higher than his 2017 first quarter approval rating, but lower than the rest of the pos...
Placeholder polling news
April 17, 2025 |
Polling News
A new NBC News poll shows that President Donald Trump has grown the “Make America Great Again” base, with more registered voters saying they’re part of the MAGA movement today than at this time last year.  ...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance