Polling News

Trump’s Performance With Key Voting Groups

November 17, 2016

President-Elect Donald Trump received more votes from several key groups than former Republican nominees Mitt Romney and John McCain received in their elections. According to exit polls and vote counts as of November 15, Mr. Trump won more votes with African-Americans, Latinos, Independents, white Evangelical Christians, and voters living in the suburbs and rural areas compared to the two Republican candidates before him.

Mr. Trump won 1.3 million African American votes (to Romney’s 1 million and McCain’s 683,336); 4.2 million Latino votes (to Romney’s 3.5 million and McCain’s 3.7 million); 13.8 million rural votes (to Romney’s 11 million and McCain’s 9.8 million); 19.5 million Independents (to Romney’s 18.7 million and McCain’s 16.8 million); 27.6 million votes from white Evangelical Christians (to Romney’s 26.2 million and McCain’s 25.3 million); and 32.1 million suburban votes (to Romney’s 30.4 million and McCain’s 30.9 million).

Mr. Trump fell short of the 2012 and 2008 Republican vote totals with women (Trump: 28.6 million, Romney: 30.1 million; McCain: 30 million) and those with a high school degree or less (Trump: 12 million; Romney: 14.3 million; McCain: 13.9 million).  He beat Mr. Romney’s totals with Catholics (15.7 million to Romney’s 15.5 million), but just missed McCain’s 2008 total (McCain won 16 million Catholic votes). 

The economy drove most voters to Mr. Trump (he won almost 3/4th of the 63% of the electorate who believe the state of the economy to be not good or poor). He should build on his success with these key groups with a strong focus on this issue they care most about – the economy.

Related PollingNews

Placeholder polling news
December 30, 2025 |
Polling News
As 2025 comes to a close, CBS News/YouGov poll found health care costs are rising as a top concern for Americans, above food and housing. ...
Placeholder polling news
December 23, 2025 |
Polling News
The issues Americans want their leaders to prioritize in 2026 have shifted over the last few years, according to the latest AP-NORC poll. Health care costs saw the sharpest uptick, while immigration and inflation remain top concerns. ...
Placeholder polling news
December 18, 2025 |
Polling News
The word of the year is “affordability,” but hammering the term does nothing unless it is paired with acknowledgement of the human costs. A recent POLITICO poll, conducted by Public First, took a deep dive on the electorate’s mood amid financial strain an...
Placeholder polling news
December 11, 2025 |
Polling News
This year’s Reagan National Defense Survey found that despite noise in the social media foreign policy debates, Americans overwhelmingly support international engagement and believe America should have military superiority. ...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance