Polling News

Which Narrative Will Win The White House?

May 12, 2016

Both presumptive presidential nominees believe specific narratives will produce victory in November.  Hillary Clinton’s campaign chair John Podesta said that compared to his candidate, Donald Trump “is not prepared” and “lacks the temperament to lead our nation.”  On the Republican side, campaign manager Corey Lewandowski summed up Mr. Trump’s message as “People are unhappy with the direction of the country.”  Which sentiment will be more powerful at the polls in November?

Mrs. Clinton can look to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll that found 66% of voters think she has the right experience to be president.  Thirty-three percent think she does not.  Only 26% of voters think Mr. Trump has the right experience, while 73% think he does not.  Fifty-eight percent of voters believe Mrs. Clinton has the right temperament to be president and 40% say she does not, while Mr. Trump’s numbers are 25%-72%, respectively. 

There are numbers to support Mr. Trump’s perspective as well.  A whopping 65% of voters think the country is on the wrong track, according to the RealClearPolitics.com aggregate of national polls, while just 26.6% say the country is moving in the right direction.  The number of voters who think the country is headed in the wrong direction has not been below 50% in seven years, so Mr. Trump has been able to tap into anger and frustration voters have been feeling for a long time.

Both narratives will drive the 2016 race.  In 25 weeks, we will see if Mrs. Clinton can convince enough voters her experience and temperament are what the country needs or if Mr. Trump can prove he has the nature and ideas needed to be the president who changes the country’s direction.

Related PollingNews

Placeholder polling news
January 21, 2021 |
Polling News
A new Pew Research Center survey, finds President Donald Trump leaves office with the lowest approval rating of his presidency, down nine points with adults since August and down 15 points from when he took office in Jan. 2017 (44%). ...
Placeholder polling news
January 14, 2021 |
Polling News
A majority of Americans believe President Donald Trump is responsible for the attack on the Capitol last week, according to polls that have been released since last Wednesday’s riot in Washington. ...
Placeholder polling news
January 07, 2021 |
Polling News
According to Morning Consult tracking, voters – including Republicans – doubt the results of the U.S. Presidential election will be overturned or should be.  ...
Placeholder polling news
December 31, 2020 |
Polling News
There are many takeaways from the 2020 Election, but among the more interesting is that President Donald Trump and the Republican Party made gains with Hispanic voters. ...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance