Polling News

Historical Look At Defecting Delegates

July 21, 2016

Donald Trump was officially nominated as the GOP’s 2016 presidential nominee on Day Two of the Republican National Convention.  As he received 1,725 delegates out of the 2,472 (more than the required 1,237 delegates necessary), there were still a number of delegates who backed another candidate.  According to data the Washington Post compiled from the Congressional Quarterly’s “Guide to U.S. Elections,” 30.2% of 2016 Republican delegates cast their vote for other candidates.   

That is the highest percentage of delegates bucking the GOP nominee since the party’s contested 1976 convention and the eighth highest percentage in Republican history.  Almost all the seven other conventions occurred in the Gilded Age and turn-of-the-century when presidential nominations were decided in smoky back rooms and in brawls on the convention floor (for more about those, be sure to visit www.rove.com/convention). 

In addition to the 1976 battle between Gerald Ford and Ronald Reagan, the Republican conventions of 1876 (which nominated Rutherford B. Hayes), 1880 (James A. Garfield), 1884 (James G. Blaine), 1888 (Benjamin Harrison), 1892 (Harrison), and 1912 (William Taft) all saw between 30-50% of delegates vote for someone other than the nominee.  It should be noted in most Gilded Age contests, there were several candidates in consideration, so this would have been expected.

Donald Trump has an opportunity to win over the 30.2% of delegates and Republican and swing voters watching at home in his acceptance speech tonight.  He must bring positive enthusiasm to the stage and present an optimistic vision for the future if he wants them on his side come November.

Related PollingNews

Placeholder polling news
November 20, 2025 |
Polling News
Democrats were frustrated at the end of the government shutdown, with party in-fighting spilling into the open and the progressive base publicly calling for new leadership. ...
Placeholder polling news
November 13, 2025 |
Polling News
As the government shutdown nears its end, Republicans are regaining the upper hand and Democrats are in disarray. No one should get comfortable, however, because when the government reopens, the GOP will face its next challenge: addressing healthcare. Sim...
Placeholder polling news
November 06, 2025 |
Polling News
Now that the 2025 elections are over, all eyes are turning to 2026. The latest NBC News poll found voters are disappointed with the Trump Administration on the economy, inflation and cost of living, and looking out for the Middle Class. How will those iss...
Placeholder polling news
October 30, 2025 |
Polling News
Thousands of voters have already gone to the polls in New Jersey and Virginia, with tens of thousands more before the polls close next week. Historically, the party that holds the White House typically loses these off-off year elections, but what about th...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance