When it comes to predicting the future, special elections are problematic. The timing, turn-out patterns, and environment can be unique and different than the regular election cycle itself. They can show possible trends, however.
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Because of the Biden economy, President Donald Trump and Republicans made gains with Latino voters last year.
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Democrats were frustrated at the end of the government shutdown, with party in-fighting spilling into the open and the progressive base publicly calling for new leadership.
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As the government shutdown nears its end, Republicans are regaining the upper hand and Democrats are in disarray. No one should get comfortable, however, because when the government reopens, the GOP will face its next challenge: addressing healthcare. Sim...