Articles

My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions

January 07, 2016
35bb711d66c861c93d68c5b82d1a9e26

Continuing a tradition, here is a look back at my predictions for 2015—hits and misses—and fresh prognostications for the New Year. Of last year’s 27 prophecies, I got nine wrong. There was no Supreme Court vacancy, nor did the high court prohibit ObamaCare patients in states without exchanges from receiving federal subsidies.

Although the House and Senate passed budget resolutions, lawmakers did not approve most appropriations bills before Oct. 1. Nor did President Obama veto any, despite his frequent threats. Instead, Senate Democrats filibustered because Republicans proposed spending too little.

There was more populist anger on the right (with Trump at 35% in Wednesday’s Real Clear Politics average) than on the left (with Sanders at 32%). And the GOP front-runner (The Donald) cracked 30% in September, not 25%, as I had predicted.

Because of turmoil in the House, congressional Republicans failed to offer a governing conservative vision, though their budget resolutions required tough votes on entitlements and tax reform.

The Seahawks didn’t win the Super Bowl, losing to the Patriots. None of my Oscar picks—“American Sniper,” Benedict Cumberbatch and Clint Eastwood—won a statuette.

To read the full article, please visit WSJ.com.

Related Article

098c6b8dea719a1e88fc7129146adb5d
January 18, 2018 |
Article
In a Wall Street Journal interview last week, President Trump said if he were to “terminate” the North American Free Trade Agreement, it “would be frankly a positive for our country.” ...
F9a7d41d2a83d7d4b789adfd11f0e9bc
January 11, 2018 |
Article
Long before the presidential election, the populist candidate’s mental state was under attack. The New York Times ran a series over several days suggesting he was unfit for office. ...
7d32cd4afe265ae7d7cf7f666b4a00f0
January 04, 2018 |
Article
Batting .633 in baseball is terrific, but merely adequate in the forecasting game. On Jan. 4 of last year, I made 30 predictions for 2017. Nineteen were correct. A gimme: President Trump tweeted often (more than 2,300 times).  ...
Db0fe3fee0fc466635a832743dc13e33
December 28, 2017 |
Article
As the year’s remaining days dwindle away, let us remember some who left this life in 2017. Michael Novak was a kind, brilliant Catholic philosopher whose majestic 1982 book, “The Spirit of Democratic Capitalism,” made a powerful case that free men and...
Button karlsbooks
Button readinglist
Button nextapperance