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When Presidential Debates Matter

September 22, 2016 |
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For all the importance attached to presidential debates, they tend to confirm existing trends. President Gerald Ford may have mistakenly denied Soviet domination of Eastern Europe in a 1976 exchange with Gov. Jimmy Carter. But Ford was already whittling away at Mr. Carter’s lead before that encounter, and afterward the race kept tightening.

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February 26, 2015 |
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To better understand the 2016 GOP presidential race, let’s consider some history. At a comparable point during the last nine Republican presidential primary contests, four had a front-runner with a double-digit lead in a national poll, and in five the lea...
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February 19, 2015 |
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Congressional Republicans are right to try to stop President Obama's November 2014 executive action suspending enforcement of immigration laws for millions of illegal aliens. The House has passed a Department of Homeland Security appropriations bill prohi...
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February 11, 2015 |
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With only two years left in his presidency, Barack Obama recently has been revealing his innermost convictions, particularly on foreign policy. These convictions are startling and disturbing.Take Mr. Obama’s Feb. 1 interview with CNN’s Fareed Zakaria. The...
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February 05, 2015 |
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Notwithstanding the accident that left him blind in his right eye and with four broken ribs, Minority Leader Harry Reid labored hard to show he was still in command during his month’s forced absence from the Senate. Aides claimed he worked the phones from...
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January 29, 2015 |
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For most of this year, national polls showing head-to-head matchups among potential Republican presidential candidates will be interesting but hardly predictive. Opinion in states with February 2016 contests won’t really gel until late autumn, when polls ...
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January 22, 2015 |
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President Obama ’s State of the Union address on Tuesday evening was oddly disconnected.It was disconnected from events abroad. He said that “the shadow of crisis has passed.” Earlier that day Iranian-backed rebels stormed the compound of the president of...
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January 14, 2015 |
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Each presidential primary contest differs from previous ones. But 2016 will be wildly different, starting with many more qualified candidates than in 2012. The field last time was among the weakest in memory; this field could be among the strongest.The ra...
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January 08, 2015 |
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Since Christmas and New Year’s Day both fell on a Thursday, wiping out my weekly columns in the name of holiday cheer, this is my first opportunity to rate the success of my 2014 predictions and offer new ones for 2015.I got 13 political prognostications ...

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