"He can run, but he can’t hide,” Joe Louis once said of fellow boxer Billy Conn. The same might be said of Donald Trump. In March the Republican front-runner gave three long, revealing interviews—two with the Washington Post and one with the New York Time...
The Real Clear Politics average of Wisconsin polls (March 23-April 3) pointed to a close race, placing Ted Cruz ahead of Donald Trump by 39% to 35%. But the final week leading to Tuesday’s primary was not kind to Mr. Trump, and he was crushed, 48% to 35%....
Jan van Lohuizen of Voter Consumer Research and Luke Thompson of Ad Astra Insights have done interesting work in depicting the pattern over time of the favorables and unfavorable of the remaining Republican and Democratic presidential contenders. Their w...
Political junkies got a glimpse of the fall general-election campaign this week: Hillary Clinton’s super PAC, Priorities USA, announced it had reserved $70 million of television advertising in seven battleground states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, Ne...
At the March 10 Republican debate in Miami, Donald Trump said “I think that whoever gets the most delegates should win”—meaning that if no candidate holds a majority at the GOP’s Cleveland convention, the nomination should go to whoever has a plurality.
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Read this interesting memo from TargetPoint’s Alex Gage and Samantha Artley that shows frontrunner Donald Trump is not consolidating the contest as the three previous Republican nominees did. At this point after Super Tuesday in 2000, Texas Gov. George W...
The Ides of March was kind to Donald Trump. He swept five of six contests and passed an important milestone, capturing 40% of the votes cast. Still, he’s not a lock for the nomination.
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The rules of political proportionality can be kind, as they were Tuesday to Sen. Bernie Sanders. The Vermonter’s margin of victory over Hillary Clinton in Michigan was slight, 49.8% to 48.3%. But because his vote was spread over more congressional distric...