So far, 12.4 million Americans have voted in Republican presidential caucuses and primaries so far. Donald Trump leads with 4.3 million or 34.9% of the total, compared to 8.1 million or 65.1% for the rest of the field. So how does this pattern compare t...
Super Tuesday was a huge day for the Democratic and Republican Party front-runners. Both took big steps toward winning their respective nominations—but even as they piled up delegates, they still face challenges.
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Turnout in this year’s fifteen Republican caucuses and primaries is up while turnout is down in all twelve of the Democratic contests for which comparisons are available (Democrats count their vote in the Iowa and Nevada caucuses in a way that makes cross...
Donald Trump scored a very impressive win in Nevada, taking 45.9% and 14 of the state’s 30 delegates to the GOP convention. But the Republican nomination is far from settled. After four contests, only 133 of the convention’s 2,472 delegates have been sele...
Primary exit polls (or entrance polls in the case of caucuses) can shed light on who does better in gaining support in the last few days or the final week of a contest.
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Donald Trump went loony-left during last Saturday’s GOP debate in South Carolina. In a heated moment the reality TV celebrity told the crowd that President George W. Bush had “lied” about weapons of mass destruction in Iraq.
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Tuesday’s outcome in New Hampshire means two things: First, Donald Trump, while not unstoppable, is more likely than any other Republican to be the GOP nominee. Bet on Donald, but heavier on the field. Second, Bernie Sanders will win plenty of delegates, ...
It was quite a turnaround. After he led in Iowa most of December, Ted Cruz’s numbers started falling Jan. 6, after Donald Trump declared him ineligible for the presidency because he was born in Canada. But Mr. Cruz unleashed a disciplined, data-driven get...
