This map shows the congressional districts Republicans won by less than five points; the districts they won by five to 10 points; and the districts they won by more than 10 points. It also shows the congressional districts Democrats won by less than five points; those they won by five to 10 points; and the districts Democrats won by more than 10 points. According to the map, the GOP won more districts by a greater margin in 2010, and Democrats had more close call districts won by a smaller margin. These are important factors that represent the depth of GOP victories this past election cycle and potential districts for future pick-ups. (To download PDF map, visit http://bit.ly/giW4uL)
Methodology: Results are compiled from election authorities, via the New York Times. The two remaining undecided seats were allocated to the party leading as of November 29, 2010.
Since July 1, 2010, there have been 111 polls released on U.S. House races. In this week's Wall Street Journal op-ed and Karl Rove & Company Polling News and Notes, I discuss what these polls may reveal for November.
The full list of polls from July 1-September 8, 2010 is available here.
This is where I'll be posting links to documents related to our conversation on Rush Radio today.
- The Job Impact of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan
- Statement of the Actuarial Opinion, 2010 Annual Report of the Boards of Trustees of the Federal Hospital Insurance and Federal Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Funds, August 5, 2010
- Send a self-addressed stamped envelope to Karl Rove & Company, Attn: Rush Radio Bookplate Offer, Post Office Box 25564, Washington, DC 20027 and I'll zip you back a signed bookplate for your copy of Courage and Consequence.
On July 29, the Topeka Capital-Journal published a story in which Cong. Jerry Moran (R-KS) responded to a statement I made on June 19 at a fundraiser for Cong. Todd Tiahrt (R-KS). During the rally I stated that in December 2001 Moran sought a campaign fundraiser with Commerce Secretary Don Evans in exchange for his vote on Trade Promotion Authority, a bill aimed at knocking down trade obstacles that would have helped Moran’s rural western Kansas district.
Moran tells the Topeka Capital-Journal, "I never said that and would never say that...It's a very odd allegation. I never talked to Karl Rove or anyone at the White House about this." But, as the vote on Trade Promotion Authority approached, Congressman Jerry Moran did explore receiving a fundraiser with Secretary Don Evans in return for support of the measure.
He may have forgotten the request he made of the White House, but I haven’t. It was my responsibility to tell White House legislative affairs we would not authorize a fundraiser as a quid pro quo for his vote, then alert the Commerce Secretary’s office he should not agree to any fundraising event for the Congressman, and finally make certain the House GOP leadership was alerted to the Congressman’s request and the White House’s rejection of it.
I don’t know what’s worse – the original request or the Congressman’s declaration now that it never happened.
On June 17th I submitted a letter to the editor to The New York Times responding to Gail Collins’ incorrect claim in her June 16th piece that President George W. Bush told America to "go shopping" after 9-11. The New York Times has refused to publish my letter so I hope you’ll take a look and decide for yourself.
I address this issue in more detail in my new book, Courage and Consequence, specifically in chapter 18, page 291.
President Barack Obama enjoyed a 68% approval rating from Americans in the first Gallup Poll job approval rating of his administration. Considering he now sits at 46% and 45% in polls like Gallup and Rasmussen, respectively, what has been the trend in his job approval rating, and in what direction is it going?
There are several websites that provide an aggregate of all major polls conducted on the President’s job approval, and the polling conducted on his handling of issues like health care, foreign policy and the economy.
The following sources have some great summaries of President Obama’s approval rating:
It will make for an interesting study to monitor the trend over the coming months, especially after Americans grow increasingly frustrated over the President’s handling of issues like unemployment and the federal deficit.
On Tax Day, rather than offer an explanation on why the Obama Administration has broken its 2008 campaign pledge not to raise taxes on families making less than $250,000 a year, White House Communications Director Dan Pfeiffer took to the White House blog to criticize my Wall Street Journal column, “Why Republicans Are Winning on the Tax Issue.”
Mr. Pfeiffer claimed that under the Obama Administration, federal taxes have been reduced by $173 billion. However, what he neglected to mention was that since January of 2009, President Obama and Congressional Democrats have enacted into law gross tax increases totaling more than $670 billion -- or more than $2,100 for every man, woman and child in the United States. The majority of these tax increases are a result of the new health care law alone. The Republican Ways and Means Committee put together a comprehensive tally of all the tax increases passes since January 2009.
If that wasn't enough to undermine Mr. Pfeiffer's weak response, last week the chief actuary for the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, a major office within the Department of Health and Human Services, released a report showing that the President's new health care law will not "bend the health care curve" down as President Obama pledged, but cause it to increase.
Considering the $670 billion in tax increases and 1% increase in new health care spending contradict President Obama’s and Democrats’ pledges, let me recommend the next time Mr. Pfeiffer dismiss criticisms as “false,” he make sure the facts and figures are on his side. Because, to paraphrase that venerable Democratic Daniel Patrick Moynihan, Mr. Pfeiffer is entitled to his own opinion, but he’s not entitled to his own selective facts. After all, when it comes to taxes, Mr. Pfeiffer was asking the American people, “who you gonna believe, him or your lying eyes?”
Mr. Obama, when all is said and done, will rank as one of the greatest tax hikers in American history. His aides, rather than defending it, are trying to deny it. Unfortunately for them, they cannot outrun reality.
I was happy to talk about the U.S. Census this week and encourage all Americans to fill out their Census forms. The U.S. Census is not only an important way to ensure fair representation in Congress, it is also a vital part of our history. One of my favorite founders is James Madison, who created this instrument of democracy by writing it into the Constitution as a requirement every 10 years. You will find that the questions in the 2010 Census are almost the same ones Madison wrote into first Census in 1790! If you have not filled out your census form yet, it is not too late. Please fill out the ten easy questions today. For the full video and more information on the 2010 U.S. Census, please visit http://bit.ly/ddOz0e.
Wishing you a very happy holiday and wonderful New Year! Especially grateful for all our service men and women who are spending their holidays away from their families and friends to keep ours safe. They are in our thoughts and prayers! Thank you for your support and encouragement over the past year. See you in 2010!