In the last four presidential elections, most candidates have seen their favorable and unfavorable ratings fluctuate with almost all of them seeing their favorability rating advantage shrink by Election Day. Those who won, however, held a relatively stab...
Tuesday’s Northeast presidential primaries strengthened former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s and businessman Donald Trump’s frontrunner statuses. That said, both still face disgruntled elements within their parties. If Mr. Trump and Mrs. Clinton ...
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s victory in Tuesday’s New York Democratic Primary increased her lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders. Yet while she improved her chances for being her party’s standard-bearer in November, her favorability ratings are n...
Jan van Lohuizen of Voter Consumer Research and Luke Thompson of Ad Astra Insights have done interesting work in depicting the pattern over time of the favorables and unfavorable of the remaining Republican and Democratic presidential contenders. Their w...
Read this interesting memo from TargetPoint’s Alex Gage and Samantha Artley that shows frontrunner Donald Trump is not consolidating the contest as the three previous Republican nominees did. At this point after Super Tuesday in 2000, Texas Gov. George W...
So far, 12.4 million Americans have voted in Republican presidential caucuses and primaries so far. Donald Trump leads with 4.3 million or 34.9% of the total, compared to 8.1 million or 65.1% for the rest of the field. So how does this pattern compare t...
Turnout in this year’s fifteen Republican caucuses and primaries is up while turnout is down in all twelve of the Democratic contests for which comparisons are available (Democrats count their vote in the Iowa and Nevada caucuses in a way that makes cross...
Primary exit polls (or entrance polls in the case of caucuses) can shed light on who does better in gaining support in the last few days or the final week of a contest.
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