House Members In Split Districts: Historically, the president’s party is at a disadvantage in midterm elections. In 2018, however, there are not nearly as many vulnerable members – those from the president’s party in congressional districts won by his op...
By nominating Judge Neil Gorsuch to the U.S. Supreme Court, President Donald Trump delivered on one of the main promises that convinced voters to support him in November.
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Barack Obama leaves office with one of the lowest average job approval ratings of any modern presidents. According to Gallup, Mr. Obama’s average job approval rating from Jan. 20, 2009 through Jan. 19, 2017 was 47.9%. Of all twelve post-World War II pre...
Following the Nov. election, Donald Trump’s favorable rating was 42% and his unfavorable 55%, according to Gallup. Today his favorable is down to 40% and his unfavorable is steady at 55%. How does this compare to recent presidents-elect at the beginning...
Registered voters who stayed home in November likely cost Hillary Clinton the election, according to FiveThirtyEight.com’s analysis of a post-election SurveyMonkey poll. Thirty-five percent of self-identified Democrats and 33% of self-identified Independ...
Republicans made significant gains with middle-class voters in 2016, according to a Pew Research Center analysis of 221 metropolitan areas.
Democratic support declined between the 2008 and 2016 in 196 of these regions.
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According to a FiveThirtyEight.com analysis, state polls in key battlegrounds like Florida, Michigan, and Pennsylvania predicted Hillary Clinton would win by an average of 0.6, 4.0, and 3.7 points, respectively. Instead, Mr. Trump won Florida by 1.19 poi...