Jan van Lohuizen of Voter Consumer Research and Luke Thompson of Ad Astra Insights have done interesting work in depicting the pattern over time of the favorables and unfavorable of the remaining Republican and Democratic presidential contenders. Their w...
Read this interesting memo from TargetPoint’s Alex Gage and Samantha Artley that shows frontrunner Donald Trump is not consolidating the contest as the three previous Republican nominees did. At this point after Super Tuesday in 2000, Texas Gov. George W...
So far, 12.4 million Americans have voted in Republican presidential caucuses and primaries so far. Donald Trump leads with 4.3 million or 34.9% of the total, compared to 8.1 million or 65.1% for the rest of the field. So how does this pattern compare t...
Turnout in this year’s fifteen Republican caucuses and primaries is up while turnout is down in all twelve of the Democratic contests for which comparisons are available (Democrats count their vote in the Iowa and Nevada caucuses in a way that makes cross...
Primary exit polls (or entrance polls in the case of caucuses) can shed light on who does better in gaining support in the last few days or the final week of a contest.
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In his Tuesday night victory speech in New Hampshire, Sen. Bernie Sanders said, “Let us never forget, Democrats and progressives when voter turnout is high. Republicans win where people are demoralized, and voter turnout is low.”
Actually, that’s wrong...
According to a Feb. 3 Gallup report, the number of Red states now outnumbers Blue states based on political party affiliation in 2015. Twenty states are solid or lean Republican while 14 are solid or lean Democratic. Gallup arrived at it state-by-state ...
Karlyn Bowman, Resident Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, recently drew attention to Hillary Clinton’s standing on the question of “cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself” compared to how Democratic candidates have traditio...
